Finance · Insurance & Financial Risk

Credit Expected Loss Calculator

Calculate expected credit loss from probability of default, exposure at default, and loss given default across exposures.

Loading calculator…

Quick guide

How to use this calculator

  1. Enter policy terms, losses, exposures, probabilities, reserves, or financial assumptions on a consistent basis.
  2. Use the actual policy wording or internal data definition for every limit, deductible, premium, loss, and recovery input.
  3. Compare multiple plausible scenarios and treat probabilistic outputs as model results rather than forecasts or coverage determinations.

Calculation method

Calculation method

Expected credit loss = sum(PD × EAD × LGD).

Deterministic currency and ratio calculations use exact fixed-decimal arithmetic. Simulated or distribution-based tools identify their approximation and reproducibility conventions.

Worked example

Worked example

A 2% default probability on 100,000 exposure at 40% LGD produces 800 expected loss.

Expected credit loss = sum(PD × EAD × LGD).

Supported inputs

Precision and limits

Insurance and risk scope

This arithmetic expected-loss model does not determine regulatory, accounting, impairment-stage, collateral, discounting, or capital treatment. Enter PD, EAD, and LGD on compatible horizons and definitions.

Policy wording controls

Actual deductibles, exclusions, valuation clauses, waiting periods, sublimits, aggregates, reinsurance terms, and legal coverage depend on the contract and jurisdiction. The calculator cannot interpret or bind coverage.

Model and data consistency

Keep gross versus net, written versus earned, paid versus incurred, exposure periods, probability horizons, and currency bases consistent. Historical averages and probability models do not guarantee future outcomes.

No quote or professional determination

Results do not quote a premium, approve a claim, establish an actuarial reserve, determine regulatory capital, recommend self-insurance, or replace an insurer, broker, actuary, accountant, risk professional, or legal adviser.

Precision and privacy

Plain decimals accept up to 30 digits and 12 decimal places. Calculations remain in this browser and raw entered values are not submitted to 365CALCS.COM.

Continue calculating

Related calculators